Sweden
Highlights of draft NECP:
Transport
Sweden aims to reduce emissions from the transport sector by 70% by 2030 compared to 2010. However, some of the measures listed in the plan to meet this target, such as the use of large quantities of biofuels and tax incentives for gas vehicles, should be revisited. Electrification of the transport sector plays a major role but would benefit from clearer targets in terms of sales of electric vehicles and infrastructure development. The Swedish draft NECP does not include any details with regard to the decarbonisation of heavy-duty transport and shipping sectors. While taxation is mentioned as a key measure to decarbonise the aviation sector, Sweden could add other measures such as the promotion of clean renewable fuels.
Agriculture
The Swedish draft NECP does not include any greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets for the agricultural sector, although the Swedish government expects a decrease in agricultural GHG emissions of 23% (compared to 1990) by 2030. This objective is only reported in the projections and is not a binding target. While the draft NECP mentions existing measures with good potentials, such as restoration and establishment of wetlands or sustainable perennial grass ley with reduced soil tillage, by simply keeping existing measures, it fails to truly transition the agricultural sector towards decarbonisation.
Building
The Swedish draft NECP does not set greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction target for the building sector nor a binding renewable energy objective for the heating and cooling sector. The scenarios for heating and cooling show only a slight increase in the share of renewables in the next 15 to 20 years from 68% in 2014 to 69% in 2030 and 71% in 2040. Moreover, the Swedish energy performance requirements for nearly-zero energy buildings set in the building codes are less strict than the recommendations of the European Commission, leaving energy savings potential untapped.
Please find Sweden's final NECP (EN) here.
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NECP's progress
At the end of June 2019, the European Commission assessed the Swedish draft plan
By June 2023, Member States are expected to update their draft plans
By December 2023, Member States are expected to submit their final updated plans